In the BZ we were able to read the opinion of political scientists and conflict researchers about the war rhetoric before Putin's attack. While the Americans and the British rely more heavily on war rhetoric, Germany and France are more likely to insist on diplomacy. Putin has been pursuing the strategy of threats for some time.
In retrospect, the following theory by a political israel rcs data scientist was astonishing: Putin had no intention of invading Ukraine. The deployment was only a threatening gesture to assert his own interests. could drive Putin to military action. A war does not suit Vladimir Putin. If Russia attacks Ukraine, the president will gamble away everything he has built up over the last 20 years. That cannot really be his goal.
Lars-Erik Cederman, political scientist at ETH Zurich, was of the opinion that it was difficult to find a clear answer as to which rhetorical strategy would be the best at the moment for NATO's eastern expansion. The dominant opinion was: negotiate, negotiate, negotiate. In the belief that as long as people talk, the guns will be silent.
However, the war rhetoric from outside
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