If that's the case, then surely the same could be said about the internet and PC industries? So I looked at data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, and sure enough, around 2005-2006, PC page views (PV) had already leveled off, while mobile PV alone was steadily increasing. If you look carefully at the information, you'll see that what's already happening now is spreading like ripples. This was one of the things that gave me confidence in the future of mobile.
The future is a continuation of the past and the present. That's why we can sometimes see what lies ahead by looking at the flow from the past to the present. I've always wondered how the major shift from PC to mobile is positioned in the history of media and the Internet.
When personal computers first appeared, people said that no one would remove background image use them, and when movie companies were at their peak, people said that no one watched television. The same goes for the Internet. Since the latter half of the 1990s, PC performance and communication technology have improved, and now they are used so commonly that no one would have expected. Considering this history, it is only natural that the same thing will happen with mobile devices, whose performance is currently improving dramatically. I think that the transition to mobile devices fits seamlessly into the historical trend of downsizing in computers.
There are "continuous" and "discontinuous" innovations. The former may have been created by directly reflecting user feedback. However, to create something completely new and "discontinuous," it is necessary to digest user feedback and imagine what will happen in the future.